Reports & Research
Explore proprietary research packed with data, insights, and real-world findings to help carriers make smarter decisions.

Exclusive Webinar: Mitigating Non-Weather Water Risk
New strategies to turn off the tap on insurance losses
From Costly Water Losses to Millions in Savings
Non-weather water claims are a leading cause of property insurance losses, costing insurers over $20 billion annually.
Join us for a FREE live webinar where our experts will discuss the latest trends, challenges, and insights to help you mitigate non-weather water risk.
What We'll Cover
Our experts Rob Silva, ACAS (Director of Customer Success) & Sam Fetchero (Head of Marketing) will present:
- Current Trends: Understand the rise in severity and total loss costs of non-weather water claims.
- Risk Assessment Challenges: Learn why traditional methods fall short in assessing non-weather water vulnerability.
- Key Risk Factors: Identify the main drivers of non-weather water damage.
- Strategic Insights: Discover strategies to improve your management of non-weather water claims.
- Z-WATER in Action: Experience our new AI-powered model that predicts non-weather water risk with unparalleled accuracy.
- Interactive Q&A: Get your questions answered by our experts.
Who Should Attend
This webinar is ideal for Executives, Product Managers, Actuaries, Underwriters, and CAT Modelers committed to enhancing their understanding and management of non-weather water risks.
Bonus Content
As a bonus, you'll receive our exclusive infographic, "Below the Surface: Research Reveals Knowledge Gap in Homeowner Water Loss Prevention and Coverage."
This research gives key insights into water loss experiences, coverage details, homeowner protection measures, and information on water shutoff devices and heater conditions.
Register Now

Now Available: The Insurers Guide to Roof Risk
Learn how leading insurers are mastering roof risk and maximizing lift
It’s hard to overstate how important the roof is from an insurability standpoint. The roof represents significant risks and potential opportunities, making it a critical focus area for insurers. This has become even more important in recent years as the impact of severe convective storms is often reflected in roof losses. Understanding this, ZestyAI has released new research for property insurers called The Insurers Guide to Roof Risk.
Download The Insurers Guide to Roof Risk
In an era where the severity and frequency of roof-related claims are on the rise, particularly due to the increasing impact of severe convective storms, innovative tools and strategies are essential. The Insurers Guide to Roof Risk provides actionable insights to improve risk assessment, underwriting processes, and overall business strategy.
What’s Inside the Guide?
The Insurers Guide to Roof Risk includes:
- Roof Failure Factors: Learn the underlying contributing factors behind why older roofs fail more often.
- Beyond Roof Age: Discover why roof complexity, condition, and climate are more important than roof age alone.
- Identifying Missing Risk Factors: Understand the key factors to roof risk that most traditional models miss.
- Advanced Risk Segmentation: See how using machine learning and new data sources can split risk more than 60 times better than traditional models.
- Portfolio Optimization: Access a comprehensive toolbox to optimize your portfolio and new business selection to generate exponential lift versus traditional models.

Now Available: ZestyAI’s 2024 Wildfire Season Overview
Annual Wildfire Season Overview provides insights to assist insurers in effectively managing wildfire risk.
Annual Wildfire Season Overview provides insights to assist insurers in effectively managing wildfire risk.
ZestyAI has released its annual Wildfire Season Overview for 2024. This year’s guide provides critical insights carriers need to stay ahead of the rapidly evolving wildfire landscape. Offering more than just data, this year’s guide is designed to help insurers make informed risk decisions in some of the country’s most volatile states.
Download ZestyAI's 2024 Wildfire Season Overview
This year’s guide includes:
- Countrywide Wildfire Impact Analysis: Understand how wildfires are affecting regions beyond traditional hotspots like CA, including significant events in TX & NM.
- Future Wildfire Trends: Explore predictions for the 2024 wildfire season and understand the long-term implications of current conditions on wildfire risks.
- Regulatory Insights: Stay updated on the latest regulations affecting wildfire risk assessment insurance practices.
- AI-driven Risk Models: Learn how ZestyAI's Z-FIRE model accurately predicts wildfire risks and assists insurers in making informed decisions.
- Property-Level Risk Assessments: Discover the importance of granular, property-specific risk evaluations to improve underwriting accuracy and transparency for consumers.

The Roof Age Advantage Webinar Now Available On Demand
Achieve unmatched accuracy in risk management
Costing insurers approximately $19 billion every year, roof claims stand as the primary driver of property insurance losses.
Traditional methods of obtaining roof age information are deeply flawed. Most carriers depend on policyholder or agent-reported data, which is often inaccurate, leading to blind spots in assessing property risk. In a recent ZestyAI survey, 63 percent of homeowners reported not knowing the age of their roof if they were not in their homes the last time it was replaced.
Join our expert panel for a deep dive into leveraging roof age analytics for a cutting-edge underwriting process and gain insider knowledge on:
- The Leading Cause of Claims: unveil the hidden truths behind roof-related claims and the costly consequences of outdated assessment methods.
- A New Era of Data: Learn about ZestyAI’s pioneering approach to roof age analytics, incorporating building permits, historical imagery, and AI for a comprehensive view
- Precision at Scale: See how to apply precise, AI-driven roof age data across your entire portfolio for consistent and reliable underwriting and claims decisions
- Technical Decision Making: Empower your actuaries and underwriters with the insights needed to enhance risk selection and optimize pricing strategies
- Efficiency in Operations: Streamline inspections and operations, focusing resources where they’re needed most, improving time-to-quote, and enriching the customer experience
- Best Practices: Learn how leading carriers are using roof age, roof condition, and peril-specific models to improve risk selection and lower combined ratios
This transformative session is available on demand. Learn how to enhance accuracy, efficiency, and profitability in property insurance.
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New Research: What Insurers Need to Know About AI and Regulatory Compliance
Master the future of insurance compliance with ZestyAI's interactive guide, featuring a state-by-state regulatory map, AI partnership checklist, and insights into emerging challenges.
In an ever-evolving regulatory environment, staying informed and adaptable is crucial. Our latest interactive guide, "When Innovation and Regulation Meet", offers a comprehensive toolkit for navigating the complexities of insurance compliance and the integration of AI technologies.
What's Inside?
- Regulatory Landscape Map: Delve into a detailed state-by-state analysis, uncovering the intricacies of filing laws and approval speeds.
- Staying Ahead of Regulation Changes: Learn how to stay prepared and ensure your compliance strategies are future-proof, aligning with the latest regulatory expectations.
- Essential AI Partner Checklist: Choosing the right AI partner is crucial for success. Our guide offers a meticulous checklist for selecting a partner that is not only compliant but also transparent and supportive, ensuring you make an informed decision.
- Emerging Regulatory Concerns: What do you need to know about privacy, bias, and AI oversight?
- Real-World Applications: Discover how ZestyAI's collaborative approach with regulatory entities has led to successful model approvals across the United States.
Why This Guide?
As the regulatory framework becomes increasingly complex, having a reliable and insightful resource is indispensable. Our guide is tailored for insurance professionals seeking to enhance their regulatory strategy, embrace AI innovation responsibly, and achieve a competitive edge in the market.
Ready to get up to speed on 2024's regulatory environment? Access the guide.

New Research: "Hail Risk 2024: An Interactive Guide for Insurers"
The landscape of hail risk management is undergoing a significant transformation. Our latest publication, "Hail Risk 2024: An Interactive Guide for Insurers," offers a critical examination, illustrated with compelling data, of the factors contributing to the alarming rise in hail-related losses over the last decade. Major changes to how hail is understood have changed how insurers should view the peril. This guide isn't just about understanding hail risk; it's about redefining how it is managed in the insurance industry.
Why This Guide is Indispensable:
- Losses Rising — Understand the key factors driving record-breaking hail losses, and why there's more to the story than just "climate change."
- Reinsurance — Learn why insurance carriers now shoulder more of the burden due to changing risk transfer relations.
- The Right Tools — Explore how AI-based climate risk models are supplementing stochastic and actuarial models for a full picture of climate risk.
- Actionable Steps — See how leading carriers are applying granular, property-level insights and learn the proactive steps they're taking to mitigate risks and losses.
Ready to get up to speed on hail risk in 2024? Access the guide.

ZestyAI Named to Sønr’s 2025 Scale50: Top 50 Established Insurtechs
We’re proud to share that ZestyAI has been named to Sønr’s 2025 Beyond Boundaries Scale50, recognizing the top 50 established insurtechs driving measurable impact and transformation across the global insurance industry.
Produced by Sønr, a leading market intelligence firm tracking more than four million companies worldwide, the Beyond Boundaries 2025 report identifies the innovators redefining insurance through AI, data, and collaboration.
This year’s analysis underscores a clear shift in the market: the age of experimentation has given way to execution and scale—where efficiency, resilience, and real-world outcomes define success.
At ZestyAI, we’re proud to be part of that evolution. Our Decision Intelligence Platform brings together property-level data, predictive AI models, and Agentic AI automation to help insurers see, price, and manage risk with precision and confidence.
Trusted by carriers and regulators across the U.S., ZestyAI’s solutions deliver measurable improvements across underwriting, rating, reinsurance, and regulatory workflows—helping insurers make faster and more data-driven decisions.
Matt Connolly, Founder and CEO of Sønr, said:
The insurance industry has long talked about change. And now, we’re seeing it happen. After years of incremental steps, the market is finally embracing the opportunities technology brings - and the impact is tangible.
Read the full report: Beyond Boundaries 2025

DUAL Strengthens Storm Risk Underwriting and Rating With ZestyAI
ZestyAI’s Z-STORM™ delivers property-level predictions into hail and wind risk to support rapid U.S. expansion
DUAL North America Inc.’s (“DUAL”) personal property division has selected ZestyAI’s Z-STORM™ model to enhance storm-risk underwriting and pricing as it continues its rapid US expansion.
The partnership equips DUAL with sharper risk differentiation, more accurate underwriting and pricing, and a stronger foundation for sustainable growth in regions increasingly affected by severe convective storms.
By adopting ZestyAI’s severe convective storm model, DUAL will strengthen its ability to identify and price the combined effects of hail and wind with greater precision. This will enable faster, more informed decisions and profitable expansion while maintaining regulatory compliance.
The collaboration reflects DUAL’s continued investment in advanced analytics and technology to support long-term growth.
The specialty program administrator, offering more than 40 insurance products and surpassing $1.3 billion in gross written premium in 2024, continues to broaden its capabilities across commercial, specialty, and personal lines.
Luke Wolmer, Chief Actuary at DUAL, said:
“As we continue to grow across personal property lines, having accurate risk prediction at the property level is crucial."
Z-STORM gives us a more nuanced understanding of storm vulnerability, helping us recognize differences in risk that traditional models overlook. This enhances our team’s confidence in pricing decisions and will support our continued expansion across the U.S.”
Z-STORM is an AI-powered risk model that evaluates the combined effects of hail and wind to predict the frequency and severity of storm-related damage at the property level. By analyzing the interaction between local climatology and the unique characteristics of every structure—including roof condition, material, and surrounding exposure—the model delivers precise, property-specific insights into storm vulnerability.
In September 2025, ZestyAI introduced mitigation-aware scoring to its severe convective storm suite, allowing insurers to dynamically adjust risk scores to reflect verified improvements such as roof replacements, upgraded materials, or corrected property data. This enhancement gives carriers a scalable way to recognize mitigation within pricing and underwriting workflows, advancing transparency and regulatory alignment.
Attila Toth, Founder and CEO of ZestyAI, said:
“DUAL’s adoption of Z-STORM reflects a forward-thinking approach to storm risk management."
"By applying property-level risk analytics and mitigation-aware scoring, DUAL is positioned to underwrite more precisely, grow responsibly, and strengthen community resilience across the regions that are most exposed to extreme weather”.
ZestyAI’s storm models are regulatory reviewed and ready to use across the Great Plains, Midwest, and U.S. South, regions most impacted by severe convective storms, and are actively used by carriers for rating and underwriting.

ZestyAI Expands Agentic AI Platform Across All P&C Lines
ZestyAI today announced the expansion of ZORRO Discover™ to all property and casualty insurance lines.
ZORRO Discover analyzes millions of state filings to surface real-time regulatory and market intelligence, giving carriers actionable insights to make faster, more confident decisions. Carriers using the platform have reduced adverse selection, accelerated regulatory approvals by up to 50%, and expanded analytical capacity more than 20-fold—turning what was once a manual, fragmented process into a source of strategic advantage.
The platform now delivers unified visibility across all P&C lines, including Commercial Auto and Property, Personal Auto and Property, Financial and Specialty Lines, Liability and Professional Lines, Workers’ Compensation, and Administrative filings—covering every major filing type across the United States.
Built on ZestyAI’s Agentic AI platform, ZORRO Discover scales decision intelligence across the insurance industry, transforming over a decade of U.S. insurance filings into a single, transparent system of insight. Carriers can instantly benchmark competitors, analyze rating trends, and anticipate regulator feedback and objections in real time, turning regulatory filings from a compliance requirement into a strategic advantage.
Kumar Dhuvur, Chief Product Officer and Co-Founder at ZestyAI, said:
“Every corner of P&C faces the same challenge: too many filings and too little time. Now, whether it’s workers’ comp in Texas or commercial auto in California, teams can simply ask ZORRO and get instant, verified insights in real time.”
By analyzing past objections and outcomes, teams can anticipate regulators’ questions before they arise and move filings forward with precision. Live monitoring of new submissions keeps organizations current on competitor moves and market shifts, turning what was once a fragmented, manual workflow into a real-time decision system that helps teams act quickly and strategically.
With its conversational interface, users can simply ask ZORRO to surface insights that once took hours or days to uncover. Product, actuarial, and regulatory teams can now collaborate from a single, auditable source of truth, replacing manual searches and static spreadsheets with transparent, explainable intelligence that drives faster, smarter action.
ZORRO Discover is available now for all property and casualty insurance lines.
Start your trial.

Smarter Roof Age for Smarter Risk Decisions
The Next Generation of ZestyAI’s Roof Age Product
At ZestyAI, we know that better data leads to better decisions. That’s why we’ve invested in a major upgrade to our Roof Age product, trusted by leading carriers to improve risk selection, pricing, and operational efficiency in property insurance.
Today, we’re excited to share what’s new, what’s improved, and how these advancements are already helping carriers strengthen underwriting, rating, and inspection workflows.
What’s New in Roof Age
We’ve taken a holistic approach to improving performance, accuracy, and efficiency. Here’s what you’ll find in the latest release:
Refit model with double the training data
We’ve significantly enhanced the Roof Age model, doubling the size of our training dataset to improve performance across diverse housing stock, roof types, and geographies.
This expanded dataset incorporates more confirmed roof replacement events and broader regional variation, allowing the model to generalize more effectively to different parts of the country, including historically underrepresented regions.
The model is now better able to distinguish between full roof replacements and other types of roof-related activity, such as solar panel installation, patched sections, partial replacements, or home additions.
These events may alter the roof’s appearance or condition, but don’t represent a comprehensive replacement. By learning the subtle visual and contextual cues that separate these scenarios, the model delivers more accurate predictions and reduces the risk of misclassification.
Enhanced estimation for challenging cases
In cases where no building permit is available and roof replacement can’t be clearly confirmed via aerial imagery, our improved Roof Age Estimation Model takes over. This model, now trained on double the dataset, is purpose-built for ambiguity.
It leverages not only imagery and property-level features but also regional climatology, using knowledge of local weather patterns and environmental stressors to inform its estimate.
For example, a roof in the Southeast exposed to intense sun and humidity will age differently than one in the Pacific Northwest or Upper Midwest. Incorporating these regional factors helps improve estimation accuracy, even when direct replacement signals are unavailable.
ZestyAI also establishes a minimum roof age, providing additional clarity and confidence. Using our extensive, 20-year aerial imagery catalog, we can identify the earliest visual evidence of the current roof.
If no replacement activity is detected over a known span of time, we can confidently assert that the roof is at least that old.
This minimum age is then used not just as a floor, but as a valuable input to further refine the overall roof age estimate, narrowing the prediction with greater precision than models limited to single-source or snapshot data.
This capability provides underwriters and actuaries with a powerful, high-confidence signal, particularly valuable for pricing segmentation, inspection prioritization, and risk selection strategies.
Intelligent cross-validation logic
The model doesn’t rely on a single data source. Even when a strong signal like a building permit is available, it cross-validates with high-resolution aerial imagery to detect inconsistencies, like permits that were filed but not followed through, or replacements that occurred without permits.
This layered logic helps ensure predictions are grounded in current conditions, not just administrative records. It also improves detection of fraud, data entry errors, or outdated assumptions in property records.
This logic creates a "trust but verify" framework that boosts both precision and confidence in every prediction.
To illustrate, imagine a home built 12 years ago. The model begins by anchoring to the construction year, then scans forward through our aerial imagery catalog and permit records to assess whether a roof replacement has occurred.
By grounding the analysis in the property's timeline, the model avoids misinterpreting the original roof as a newer installation and increases confidence in identifying true replacement events.
Expanded imagery catalog
We’ve enriched our aerial imagery sources to improve roof verification across geographies. The result: more accurate verification of roof replacements and improved model performance in hard-to-cover geographies.
This helps carriers score more properties with higher confidence, especially in rural or previously under-covered regions.
Confidence scores for every prediction
Every Roof Age prediction now comes with a confidence score, helping carriers make more informed decisions. High-confidence predictions can be fast-tracked for automated processing, while lower-confidence scores can trigger secondary review or inspection.
This added transparency empowers carriers to make risk-based decisions not only on the prediction itself, but on how much to rely on it.
Improved Performance Behind the Scenes
We’ve also made significant infrastructure upgrades to enhance product speed and reliability.
- Reduced Latency: Infrastructure improvements have cut average response times to under 2.5 seconds per property, making Roof Age a real-time-ready solution for quoting and policy decisions.
- Stricter Quality Controls: We’ve added new safeguards to filter out imagery that’s blurry, outdated, or contains visual artifacts. Only high-resolution, high-confidence inputs are used to power predictions.
- Scalability: These backend improvements also allow us to handle larger portfolios with more concurrent requests. This is ideal for carriers integrating Roof Age into enterprise systems.
Easier Access for Every Workflow
Roof Age is available wherever you need it:
- In Z-VIEW: Easily visualize Roof Age predictions and supporting evidence with property-level insights directly in our web application.
- Via API: Seamlessly score entire portfolios and integrate directly into your quoting, pricing, or inspection strategies.
Ready to See the Results for Yourself?
The feedback from the market has been tremendous, and we’re just getting started. Want to see the results for yourself? We’re inviting carriers to pilot the new Roof Age model and evaluate its performance on their own book of business.
Get in touch to schedule your Roof Age pilot

Brava Roof Tile Selects ZestyAI’s Roof Age and Z-PROPERTY™ to Advance Data-Driven Roof Performance
AI-driven roof and parcel-level insights validate real-world performance of synthetic roofing solutions
ZestyAI announced that Brava Roof Tile, a leader in premium synthetic roofing solutions backed by Golden Gate Capital, has selected ZestyAI to validate the real-world performance of its roofing systems during past storms.
How Brava Roof Tile Uses ZestyAI’s Property and Roof Intelligence
Brava Roof Tile is leveraging three of ZestyAI’s proven solutions to bring greater clarity to roof performance and replacement opportunities. Roof Age synthesizes building permit data with 20+ years of high-resolution aerial imagery, applying advanced machine learning to deliver verified roof age estimates with 97% U.S. coverage.
Within Z-PROPERTY™, Digital Roof applies AI to assess roof complexity, materials, and condition, flagging vulnerabilities before they become costly failures, while Location Insights evaluates the broader parcel to surface risk factors such as vegetation overhang, yard debris, and secondary structure.
Together, these insights provide comprehensive coverage, unmatched accuracy, and fast deployment at scale, turning property-level data into actionable guidance on roof vulnerabilities and replacement opportunities.
Validating Real-World Resilience With Property-Level Data
“Brava is committed to helping homeowners protect their most valuable asset with roofs that combine durability, sustainability, and beauty,” said Matt Pronk, Chief Financial Officer of Brava Roof Tile.
“With ZestyAI, we gain a clear, data-driven view of how roofs perform in the real world and use those insights to guide families toward stronger, longer-lasting protection.”
“Brava Roof Tile is showing how ZestyAI's risk analytics can be applied to validate resilience in the real world,” said Attila Toth, Founder and CEO of ZestyAI.
“Our mission is to protect families, communities, and their financial wellbeing, and our unmatched coverage and accuracy make that possible at scale."

How ZestyAI Models Work: A Deep Dive into Property-Level Risk
At ZestyAI, we’re often asked:
What Does “Property-Level” Mean?
What Makes ZestyAI Different from Traditional Risk Models?
Are ZestyAI Models Approved for Use in Underwriting and Rating?
This post answers the most common questions we receive from underwriters, actuaries, regulators, and technology partners—using wildfire, hail, wind, water, and storm perils as examples of how we turn complex data into actionable insights.
What Does “Property-Level” Mean?
Traditional risk models often rely on ZIP codes, territories, or broad regional averages to assess hazard and vulnerability. Stochastic models may support property-specific analysis, but they typically require external data sources, which adds cost, complexity, and inconsistency.
At ZestyAI, we assess each structure based on its physical characteristics and how it interacts with the surrounding environment.
We assess:
- Parcel boundaries and building footprints
- High-resolution aerial and oblique imagery
- Topography, slope, and vegetation
- Structural details like roof shape, materials, and defensible space
By integrating climatology with the built environment, we generate contextual risk scores that capture how each property’s physical characteristics, regional climatology, and historical loss experience interact to shape real-world risk.
That drives smarter decisions in underwriting, pricing, and mitigation, without relying on assumptions or manually sourced data.
What Makes ZestyAI Different from Traditional Risk Models?
Traditional risk tools often rely on:
- Broad hazard zones that can’t distinguish risk within a ZIP code
- Infrequent model updates that fail to reflect current conditions
- Over-simplified proxies—often relying solely on factors like year built—without accounting for deeper structural nuance
- Manual inspections that are slow, inconsistent, and costly
ZestyAI takes a fundamentally different approach.
Our models:
- Use gradient boosted machines that capture complex interactions between property features and environmental conditions
- Are trained on millions of actual insurance claims, not simulations, ensuring outputs reflect real-world loss experience
- Leverage both imagery (e.g., high-resolution aerial and oblique photos) and non-imagery sources (e.g., permits, climatology, topography)
- Continuously incorporate new data to reflect changing exposures
- Provide parcel-level risk scores with full transparency and regulator-ready documentation
With 97%+ U.S. property coverage, ZestyAI delivers national models with localized precision, helping carriers segment risk, price accurately, and respond to today’s evolving climate risks.
Are ZestyAI Models Approved for Use in Underwriting and Rating?
Yes. ZestyAI’s models, including Z-FIRE™, Z-HAIL™, Z-WIND™, Z-WATER™, and Z-STORM™, have been approved for use in underwriting and rating across the U.S.
Our regulatory approach is grounded in a few key principles:
- Transparency: We provide clear, regulator-ready documentation, including model methodology, variable selection rationale, and statistical validation.
- Collaboration: We work directly with carriers and state regulators throughout the filing process, from pre-submission briefings to objections.
- Responsible Innovation: Our models are trained on real-world claims, regularly updated with new data, and built with fairness and explainability in mind.
We support filings with:
- Detailed methodology and input documentation
- Variable importance rankings and validation studies
- Pre-built regulatory summaries to streamline the review
- Ongoing support throughout the regulatory lifecycle
ZestyAI has a track record of success navigating regulatory review. We help carriers adopt cutting-edge risk models with confidence and compliance.
Roof Age vs. Roof Condition: What’s the Difference?
ZestyAI’s models distinguish between roof age and roof condition, treating them as complementary signals that together provide a more accurate picture of roof-related risk, especially for hail and wind.
Roof Age is validated using a combination of building permit data and aerial imagery, analyzed through multiple proprietary methods simultaneously. We assign confidence scores to each roof age and apply minimum roof age rules to avoid false positives, ensuring the data is robust, even in jurisdictions with limited permitting records.
Roof Condition is assessed through computer vision models applied to high-resolution aerial imagery. These models detect visual signs of degradation, such as discoloration, wear, patching, and debris, that may not correlate with official replacement dates.
Why does this matter?
Because many insurers rely solely on reported roof age, which is often missing, outdated, or self-reported.
Our approach captures:
- Properties with older roofs that are still in good shape (and may be lower risk)
- Properties with newer roofs already showing signs of wear (and may be higher risk)
- Up-to-date roof vulnerability that static datasets can’t match
Together, roof age and condition power smarter decisions in underwriting, pricing, and mitigation—grounded in observable reality, not assumptions.
Modeling Approach: Why Gradient-Boosted Machines (GBMs)?
ZestyAI's risk models use gradient boosted machines (GBMs), a machine learning technique that delivers powerful predictive performance while remaining transparent and regulator-ready.
We use GBMs because they:
- Achieve high predictive accuracy by combining many simple decision trees into an ensemble that learns from its own errors over time, ideal for capturing complex insurance risk signals.
- Model non-linear interactions between variables, such as how roof complexity, condition, and regional climatology jointly influence risk, something traditional models or GLMs often miss.
- Enable transparency and explainability, with tools like feature importance rankings, partial dependence plots, and SHAP values that help underwriters, actuaries, and regulators understand what’s driving risk scores.
- Support a wide range of input types, from imagery-derived features to structured data like permits, topography, and property characteristics, all in one unified framework.
The result: a modeling approach that delivers real-world impact, supporting smarter underwriting, better pricing, and confident regulatory adoption.
How Z-FIRE Evaluates Wildfire Risk
Z-FIRE is ZestyAI’s structure-level wildfire risk model, built to capture both traditional wildland fire exposure and the growing threat of urban conflagration. Unlike traditional hazard maps that apply uniform risk zones across ZIP codes or counties, Z-FIRE delivers granular, property-specific risk scores for every structure in the U.S.
The model includes two levels of scoring:
- Level One: Exposure Risk – Evaluates how likely a structure is to fall within a future wildfire perimeter, based on vegetation, slope, elevation, proximity to the wildland-urban interface (WUI), historical burn patterns, and regional climatology.
- Level Two: Structure Vulnerability – Assesses how likely that structure is to be damaged if a wildfire occurs nearby. This score factors in structural characteristics like building materials, defensible space, and surrounding fuels, extracted from aerial imagery using computer vision.
Together, these scores provide a more complete view of wildfire risk: not just where fires may happen, but how individual structures are likely to perform.
Z-FIRE also captures non-traditional wildfire scenarios, including embers and wind-driven fires that jump the WUI and ignite dense suburban and urban neighborhoods. This makes the model particularly valuable for identifying concentration risk, urban conflagration, and managing PML across books of business.
Z-FIRE is validated on millions of insurance claims and performs reliably across all geographies—from the forests of California and the grasslands of Texas to emerging risk zones in Colorado, Oregon, and the Eastern U.S.
How Z-HAIL Accounts for Roof Vulnerability
Z-HAIL is a property-specific hail risk model designed to assess not just the likelihood of hail, but how damaging it will be to a specific structure.
Unlike traditional models that rely on historical hail frequency alone, Z-HAIL captures the interaction between local climatology and structural resilience by analyzing:
- Hail climatology: storm frequency, hailstone size, and intensity at a hyperlocal level
- Roof geometry and materials: pitch, complexity, covering type, and other features that influence how hail impacts a roof
- Property-specific vulnerability factors: including building height, exposure, and roof condition (derived from imagery and computer vision)
By modeling how hail behaves in a given location and how a specific roof is likely to perform under those conditions, Z-HAIL delivers precise risk segmentation at the parcel level.
Carriers using Z-HAIL have seen significant improvements in underwriting performance. In an independent third-party review, Z-HAIL demonstrated a 20× lift in loss ratio segmentation between high- and low-risk properties—enabling more accurate pricing, better risk selection, and actionable mitigation strategies.
How Z-WIND Analyzes Wind-Driven Damage
Z-WIND is a property-specific model that evaluates vulnerability to both straight-line winds and tornadic activity by analyzing how wind climatology interacts with structure-level characteristics.
The model captures:
- Roof geometry: including shape, pitch, and surface area, which influence uplift forces
- Building elevation: to assess exposure to wind at various heights
- Local terrain and land cover: which impact wind speed, turbulence, and exposure to flying debris
- Historical wind climatology: including storm frequency and intensity
- Real-world claims data: to ensure outputs reflect actual loss performance
Z-WIND generates property-level frequency and severity scores, helping insurers move beyond broad wind zones to more precisely identify risk at the structure level. By understanding how specific buildings respond to local wind conditions, Z-WIND enables more accurate pricing, underwriting, and mitigation strategies across both inland and coastal regions.
How Z-WATER Tackles Non-Weather Water Losses
Z-WATER is an AI-powered model that predicts the frequency and severity of non-weather water and freeze claims at the property level, covering every structure in the contiguous U.S.
While many traditional models depend heavily on basic indicators such as “year built,” Z-WATER combines those inputs with a broader set of property, climate, and infrastructure features to capture the interaction between three core dimensions of risk:
- Construction & Architecture: Property-specific features that influence vulnerability and claim severity, such as number of bathrooms, number of stories, presence of a pool, and overhanging vegetation (a signal for potential tree root intrusion).
- Climatology: Environmental stressors like temperature swings and freeze/thaw cycles that contribute to pipe bursts and system strain.
- Local Infrastructure & Hydrology: How local plumbing systems and electrical grids perform when real-world cold snaps or heat waves exceed what regional codes anticipated, exposing systemic weak points that lead to burst pipes and interior water damage.
These variables are derived from aerial imagery, tax assessment data, and regional climate and infrastructure datasets, all processed through ZestyAI’s proprietary AI framework.
Z-WATER helps insurers:
- Set fair and adequate rates based on true exposure
- Target high-risk homes for mitigation (e.g., water sensors or shutoff valves)
- Streamline operations by automating low-risk decisions and focusing resources where they matter most
What Is Z-STORM?
Z-STORM is a predictive, property-specific model built for carriers that rate hail and wind as a combined peril. It provides structure-level risk scores across the contiguous U.S., enabling more accurate pricing, underwriting, and mitigation decisions.
Unlike traditional territory-based approaches, Z-STORM models how storm climatology interacts with the built environment—capturing the real-world conditions that drive loss at the individual property level.
The model incorporates:
- Storm climatology: frequency and severity of wind and hail events at a hyperlocal scale
- Structural features: roof shape, material, pitch, and condition—key factors in a structure’s vulnerability
- Environmental context: including open terrain and nearby vegetation, which can amplify damage
Z-STORM predicts both:
- Claim frequency: the likelihood a property will experience a storm-related claim
- Claim severity: the expected loss as a percentage of Coverage A, providing a more precise view of financial exposure
This dual prediction enables carriers to:
- Accurately rate combined wind and hail risk at the property level
- Target mitigation strategies (e.g., roof improvements that reduce exposure to both hazards)
- Improve risk segmentation and pricing
Z-STORM offers a single, AI-powered solution for capturing the true complexity of convective storm risk—from climate data to construction detail to expected loss outcome.
See How Insights Turn Into Decisions
ZestyAI transforms data into action. Get a demo to see how the same AI powering our reports helps carriers make faster, smarter, regulator-ready decisions.
